AMC's current market sentiment shows signs of marginal recovery, but a trend reversal has not yet been effectively confirmed by volume and price structure. Investors are advised to remain cautious in the short term and refrain from increasing positions blindly due to short-term sentiment fluctuations. For medium-term operations, dynamic risk management should be the core focus, adopting a strategy of batch entry and parallel stop-loss/take-profit management, with close attention paid to potential volume-price breakout in the $5.30 to $6.10 range. If volume continues to expand and key resistance levels are broken, gradual scaling in may be considered; but if prices come under pressure and volume retreats, risks should be promptly controlled to maintain liquidity.

Latest data shows the market is quietly shifting, with various on-chain indicators beginning to marginally improve, suggesting participant risk appetite may be rising. However, as these signals are still in the early stages, sustained volume expansion and further price structure validation are needed to confirm a real trend reversal. At this stage, investors should avoid hastily increasing positions due to a temporary sentiment rebound, and instead adopt a cautious, wait-and-see approach, with a focus on the coordination between trading volume and price breaking through key resistance levels.

Although short-term atmosphere has somewhat improved, a clear bullish structure has yet to form in the overall trend. It is recommended that medium-term deployment be based on flexible position adjustment and staggered entry/exit, reasonably setting stop-loss and take-profit levels to avoid bearing excessive position risk before the market fully confirms the trend. If subsequent price action features volume-driven breakouts with effective support confirmation, adding to positions may be considered moderately; but if prices face renewed pressure or volume shrinks, timely profit-taking and exit are needed to ensure capital safety.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged to $73K after the CPI release, with the market focusing on whether it can retest the high range.

US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

The initial expected one-year inflation rate in the US for April is 4.8%, with an expectation of 4.3%.

U.S. April one-year inflation expectation preliminary reading at 4.8%, expected 4.3%

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, outlook remains stable.

The market expects only about a one-third probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this year.

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, and this outlook will be very solid.

Hassett: The Strait of Hormuz can be reopened within two months, and the Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates.

Economist: Core inflation is weak but pressure is lagging, inflation remains sticky.

Bond traders reduced bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates once this year after data confirmed that US inflation accelerated in March due to the Iran war causing higher gasoline prices.

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