Although the ASM market has shown preliminary signs of recovery in sentiment, trading volume has yet to expand sustainably, and the price has not effectively broken through key resistance levels (suggested focus: $0.312–$0.325 region). The liquidity shortage remains prominent, limited turnover depth increases risk of volatility, and if fundamentals weaken, the scale of any pullback may be magnified. Before a clear trend emerges, it is recommended to be cautious in chasing rallies. Short-term trades should strictly control position size and closely monitor changes in trading volume and order book depth to guard against retracement risks in case of false breakouts.

Recent macro sentiment signals improvement, leading to a minor rebound in the overall digital asset sector amid low-level consolidation. After several days of sideways trading at the lows, ASM has seen occasional bullish candles on moderate volume, indicating tentative short-term buying activity. However, due to the lack of sustained volume expansion, the price has failed to hold above key resistance levels, and no clear technical trend has yet formed. Traders should monitor subsequent volume patterns to determine whether this rebound could develop into a medium-term trend reversal.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Data shows that liquidity in the crypto derivatives market remains insufficient—short-term contract frequency and volume remain far below mainstream sports and political markets, with a highly skewed concentration. As a small-cap token, ASM’s daily trading volume is limited, making large orders increasingly difficult to fill and increasing slippage risk. The lack of balanced depth will continue to amplify price swings, and any negative news may trigger an exaggerated pullback, posing pressure on short-term positions.

AsMatch

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

Lagarde discussed various options, including the possibility of an interest rate hike.

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge rose to its highest level in nearly three years

After the release of U.S. economic data, the probability expectation of an interest rate hike slightly increased.

US Q1 GDP price index preliminary reading at 3.6%, expected 3.8%

US Q1 PCE Price Index annualized quarterly rate preliminary value 4.5%, exceeding expectations

US Core PCE Price Index Year-over-Year Rises to 3.2% in March

The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged, with officials signaling they need more time to assess the extent of the Iran war’s jolt to the economy.

The European Central Bank kept its policy unchanged as expected.

USD/CAD: BoC cautious as CAD seen choppy – TD Securities

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