SHIELD is currently in a critical consolidation phase, with price fluctuating around the main support level (±3% from the reference range). The forces of bulls and bears are balanced, and market sentiment is mildly recovering, though volume support remains limited. It is recommended to pay attention to the trading volume performance when the price breaks above the resistance area (focus on the 1.12-1.15 short-term high range). Only a breakout with increased volume can validate trend continuation; beware of the pullback risk caused by a false breakout without volume support. Strategically, it is advised to wait for a price-volume resonance signal before increasing positions. In the short term, prioritize range-bound trading, set strict stop-losses, and control drawdown.

According to observations by CryptoQuant analysts, overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has recently shown signs of improvement. On the daily chart, SHIELD displays a range-bound pattern, with price steadily stabilizing near key support levels, indicating a state of balance between buyers and sellers. Trading volume currently remains neutral; bulls have not heavily increased positions, but have also not significantly retreated, putting SHIELD in a consolidation stage awaiting confirmation of a new trend. As market sentiment marginally recovers, SHIELD may test the upper resistance level in the short term, but caution is needed for ineffective breakouts lacking volume support.

Although sentiment has improved, SHIELD has not yet gained sufficient volume support to confirm a trend reversal. Technically, if multiple consecutive bullish candlesticks with volume cannot effectively break through previous highs during the next upward move, the price is likely to fall back to the lower end of the range, resulting in the risk of a false breakout. Investors should focus on the alignment between trading volume and price. Only when a breakout of the resistance area is accompanied by significant volume can the reliability of a bullish continuation be enhanced. Meanwhile, continuously monitor overall market liquidity to guard against sudden negative sentiment shocks.

Dejitaru Shirudo

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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

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