Recently, HOLO has been constrained by tightening macro liquidity and weakening Bitcoin technicals, maintaining a range-bound movement between 0.055–0.059. There was a short-term rebound stimulated by marginal geopolitical improvements, but the sustainability of the rally is limited. If Bitcoin breaks below its key support, HOLO may retrace to the critical 0.050 level. Strict stop-losses are recommended. In the medium to long term, with tightening regulatory environment, attention should be paid to HOLO ecosystem expansion and compliance progress. The current pullback phase offers a window for systematic investment, but it is necessary to dynamically track policy and capital flow changes.

Recently, macro liquidity has been suppressed by energy prices, monetary policies, and geopolitical factors, leading to a dominant wait-and-see attitude in the market. After retreating from the March 8 high, HOLO has been consolidating alongside the broader market, with narrowing daily amplitude and declining trading volumes, trading within the 0.055–0.059 range, showing large swings and oscillations. If macro liquidity does not improve in the short term, funds may find it difficult to flow back to mid- and small-cap assets, so HOLO is likely to remain in a choppy pattern, waiting for a macroeconomic turning point.

Bitcoin remains in a narrow trading range amid constrained macro liquidity and unclear price direction. Multiple pressures from energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks compress market liquidity, leading to a cautious stance. Technical support lies between $67,000-$69,000, with resistance near $72,000. Without increased demand, the market is expected to stay range-bound, awaiting a breakout influenced by macroeconomic data, policy signals, and geopolitical developments.

Analysis: Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow range, macro liquidity is constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakout.

On March 25, market expectations about Middle East tensions eased, and expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire pushed Bitcoin through a critical resistance, triggering a brief rally in risk assets. At the same time, HOLO saw a daily surge of over 5%, briefly touching the 0.060 level, confirming that rising risk appetite provided a positive catalyst. However, profit-taking by bulls led to a rapid retracement of the price to around 0.056, indicating the temporary nature of this rebound. Investors should be wary of a secondary downside risk.

Expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire have triggered a market rebound, with BTC nearing $72,000 and ETH approaching $2,200 resistance levels. Global risk assets rallied, oil prices dropped over 6% amid peace hopes, and US stock futures rose. Bitcoin showed resilience with a strong rebound near $71,000, while Ethereum paused before $2,200. Market sentiment eased, but analysts remain divided on whether the rally will sustain or face a downturn.

Trading moment: Expectations of a ceasefire between the US and Iran lead to a market rebound, with BTC and ETH approaching resistance levels of 72K and 2200, respectively.

Bitcoin continues to oscillate at the lower end of its descending channel, and if key support is broken, downside risks in the market may be further amplified. Recently, HOLO has also shown a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, currently holding at the 0.0515–0.0525 support area. If Bitcoin loses its support and extends its decline, HOLO may test the 0.050 mark again in the short term. Investors should use stop-loss strategies and pay close attention to Bitcoin's key support performance.

Last week, Bitcoin maintained a weak oscillation near the lower boundary of its ascending channel, with a bearish trend dominating. HYPE confirmed support between $36-$38, continuing its independent upward trend. This week’s analysis further dissects current structures, updates forecasts, and reviews last week’s trades. Bitcoin faces key support near $60,000; if breached, a deeper correction may occur. Strategies emphasize cautious short positions, with dynamic risk management advised.

Bitcoin bears are closing in step by step; can the $60K defense line hold? | Special Analysis

As regulatory focus intensifies on prediction markets and DeFi stablecoins, the market is raising requirements for project compliance and business models. As a fundamental protocol, if HOLO demonstrates robust ecosystem applications and sustainable operations, its medium- to long-term value expectations will improve. The current price is within a correction zone, which can be seen as a layout opportunity, but it is important to monitor actual policy and ecosystem developments that substantiate valuation recovery.

Odaily's Weekly Editor's Picks (0321-0327) highlights key insights from the past week in crypto and macroeconomics. Topics include the impact of US-Israel-Iran tensions on oil prices and global supply, the unsustainable US economic model, Balancer's shift from token inflation to revenue-driven growth, the innovative ERC-8183 protocol for decentralized AI agent economies, challenges in AI security, Polymarket's liquidity incentives, and the regulatory effects of the CLARITY Act on DeFi and stablecoins.

Weekly Editor's Picks (03/21-03/27)

holo

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Analysis: The non-farm payroll data still shows obvious fluctuations, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy remains quite high.

Strategist: The latest non-farm payroll data presents a complex situation for the Federal Reserve.

Analyst: Strong NFP data weakens rate-cut bets; the Fed forecasts no rate cuts until June.

The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, exceeding the Wall Street Journal's forecast range.

The market seems to be interpreting the non-farm payrolls as a sign of a solid labor market, and the Federal Reserve will focus on reducing inflation.

The U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls Report Quick Review.

Market pricing shows a decline in bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026.

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