PERC is currently at the intersection of on-chain sentiment recovery, liquidity improvement, and intensified competition among Perp DEXs. In the short term, a rebound in market risk appetite is driving synchronized increases in trading volume and open interest, but caution is needed regarding pullback risks due to heightened volatility. In the medium term, the competition in the Perp sector is heating up, with platform traffic and token incentives exacerbating divergence. PERC may benefit from incentives and gain speculative premiums, but its intrinsic value will depend on actual protocol usage and fee income. Long-term support stems from accelerated mainstream adoption, ecosystem expansion, and an increase in asset on-chain rates. It is recommended to dynamically monitor core protocol data. At the current price level, positioning is advised when a pullback to local support zones (e.g., 1.65-1.80 USDT) occurs, adhering to a 'liquidity is king, fundamentals validation' allocation strategy.

Recent on-chain sentiment indicators show that the overall crypto market is smoothly transitioning from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion, with spot liquidity and trading volumes increasing across the board. With Bitcoin and major assets stabilizing and rebounding, bullish sentiment prevails; however, high volatility in the altcoin sector and changing Fed rate hike expectations continue to create intermittent pullback risks. For PERC, improved sentiment helps attract more traders to the derivatives market, leading to potentially increased trading volume and open interest in the short term, yet caution is required regarding forced liquidations and sentiment reversals during pullbacks.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Meme coin FISH reached a market cap of $12 million with a 35.7% 24-hour increase. Bitcoin briefly fell below $91,000 amid doubts about the crypto market rebound. US crypto stocks mostly declined, except Strategy, which rose 4.43%. Post-US employment data, the Fed's January rate cut probability decreased. Falcon launched an off-chain Bitcoin yield vault with an expected annual return of 3-5%. Perp DEX airdrops and Solana's "invisible tax" on users were also highlighted.

Key market information gap on January 8, must see! | Alpha Morning Report.

Since the beginning of the year, the Perp DEX market has seen significant divergence, with major platforms losing substantial market share as newcomers like Aster, Lighter, and EdgeX quickly gain trading volume through technological advantages and incentive programs. This shift has pushed competition among platform governance tokens into a fever pitch. As the core of protocol operations and fee distribution, PERC may benefit in the short term from incentives such as airdrops and rebates launched to attract liquidity, but its medium to long-term value will depend on robust growth in real protocol usage and fee revenue.

At the beginning of the year, Hyperliquid dominated the Perp DEX market with over 70% share. However, in the second half, emerging Perp DEXs like Aster, Lighter, and EdgeX gained traction, reducing Hyperliquid's market share to around 20%. The market has now entered a new phase characterized by competition in technology, capital, incentives, and real demand.

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From major enterprises accepting crypto payments to record settlement volumes on Ethereum and Solana, on-chain infrastructure and compliance pathways are steadily improving. As mainstream channels gradually open to derivatives trading, user demand for efficient and secure Perp protocols will continue to grow. In this context, PERC, as the protocol governance and fee distribution token, stands to benefit from increased asset on-chain rates and ecosystem stickiness, providing solid support for its long-term value.

In the past 24 hours, the crypto market experienced diverse dynamics ranging from macroeconomic discussions to ecosystem developments. Key topics included warnings about on-chain price manipulation, AI-driven prediction market strategies, and geopolitical risks affecting supply. Notably, Venezuela reportedly holds over 600,000 BTC "shadow reserves" worth $60 billion, potentially impacting market supply. Walmart announced Bitcoin payment acceptance, signaling mainstream crypto adoption. Solana's on-chain spot volume hit $1.6 trillion, and Ethereum's stablecoin settlement reached a record $8 trillion in Q4 2025. Perp DEX markets are recovering, while concerns about physical security risks for holders persist.

Venezuela's 60 billion BTC "shadow reserves," Walmart supports Bitcoin payments, what is the overseas crypto community discussing today?

Perion

Bitunix Analyst: Employment Cooling Combined with Further Energy Contraction, War Spillover to Tech Infrastructure, Market Enters "Risk Pricing Distortion" Phase

Goldman Sachs: Fed's rate hike expectations remain low for the year

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The White House is considering an extreme scenario where oil prices exceed $150 and may use emergency powers to stabilize fuel costs.

Japan business mood, inflation expectations rise but Iran war clouds outlook

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Goldman Sachs: The possibility of the Fed raising interest rates this year remains low

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April reaches 98.4%.

KRW: Policy easing under consideration - BNY

Federal Reserve's Schmidt: Never underestimate the risks facing inflation expectations

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