The current market risk appetite has significantly rebounded, which may drive incremental short-term capital into $SPONGE. However, due to sector rotation, speculative funds are showing signs of diverging liquidity, and caution is needed regarding volatility risks at higher levels. In the medium to long term, if the Federal Reserve shifts to an accommodative monetary policy, falling interest rates will enhance the attractiveness of risk asset allocations, providing core value support for $SPONGE with underlying scenarios and community foundations. It is recommended to seize trading opportunities within a 5%-10% fluctuation range. In the short term, focus on chip concentration and the synergy between volume and price, while in the long term, use the Fed’s policy stance as a key reference for asset allocation.

Recently, the US stock market has reached near all-time highs, with the S&P 500 just a step away from 7,000 points. The consecutive months of upward movement indicate a significant rebound in current market risk appetite. Against this backdrop, investors are showing increased interest in high-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, which could bring momentum-driven buying to $SPONGE in the short term.

Although the broader market remains strong, the technology sector is showing relatively weak performance, with capital shifting toward sectors with more moderate valuations. This structural rotation could lead to a temporary withdrawal of speculative capital from emerging crypto tokens, putting short-term pressure on $SPONGE. It is important to monitor whether the trend continues by observing the coordination of trading volume and price movements.

As the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes and potential rate cut expectations come to the fore, the liquidity environment is expected to ease further. Should a downtrend in interest rates be confirmed, risk assets will gain a stronger medium- to long-term foundation. For $SPONGE, supported by community consensus and use case scenarios, this macro environment could become an important catalyst for value recovery.

Sponge

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Job Growth May Become the New Normal but Is Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Employment Growth May Become the New Normal but Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

Next Week's Macro Outlook: The Iran War Will Continue to Dominate Market Sentiment, Fed Meeting Minutes Worth Watching

Next Week's Macro Outlook: Sixth Week of the War, Trump's Playbook is About to Collapse, CPI Will Surge, Gold Prices May Put on a Big Show

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

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