The current market environment for HSUI has shifted from deleveraging to moderate expansion, with investors' risk appetite rebounding. Driven by spot demand, the risk of liquidation in the short term has decreased, supporting capital inflows. The medium- to long-term trend is becoming clear. It is recommended that investors pay attention to phased positions underpinned by strong fundamentals to capture mid-term opportunities. Focus is advised on the core range of $1.20 to $1.45. When signs of leveraged capital returning are observed, be cautious of short-term pullback risks due to crowded longs. Dynamically track trading volumes and position structures, strictly control position sizing and stop-loss discipline to balance returns and volatility risks.

Recently, the crypto market has shifted from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion, with indicators such as Z-Score confirming a rebound in investor risk appetite. Market sentiment is gradually warming from previous capitulation-driven pessimism, now mainly driven by spot demand, which has significantly lowered liquidation risk. This structural improvement is expected to bring positive spillover effects for HSUI, making short-term capital more willing to build and hold positions with lower expected drawdowns.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Against the current macro and industry backdrop, signs of a bull market trend are emerging and trend investing principles are being re-emphasized. Instead of extreme market timing, investors are advised to follow the trend, using value and momentum to guide allocations. If HSUI can maintain stable fundamentals and growth expectations, it may deliver good returns in a bull market. Investors can build positions in phases as the trend is confirmed, aiming to capture medium- to long-term upside while reducing psychological stress caused by short-term volatility.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

While market sentiment is improving and leveraged funds are returning in an orderly manner, making the price structure healthier, negative divergence may still lead to rapid short-term corrections. If the long side becomes overly crowded without new capital inflows and prices fail to keep pace with capital movement, the risk of a pullback increases. For HSUI, it is essential to closely monitor changes in trading volume, open interest, and leverage indicators to prevent potential losses from sudden sentiment reversals.

Suicune

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