TON is currently oscillating within the $1.20–$1.35 range with decreasing volume. In the short term, focus on whether the key support at $1.00 can hold. The RSI indicator is strengthening, and bullish momentum is accumulating. If prices remain above the 200-day moving average, a bullish breakout could take hold. On the ecosystem side, expansion in user base and the implementation of Web3 collaborations are building a long-term value floor. Institutional holdings of 220 million tokens and significant on-chain transfers demonstrate growing interest in low-level capital positioning. However, large transfers and macro-level regulatory changes continue to impact the short term, increasing volatility risk. In summary, it is recommended to accumulate in batches near the $1.00 support. If a breakout above $1.35 occurs with volume, consider increasing positions, but strictly cut losses if it falls below $1.00 to control risk.

Over the past month, Toncoin’s price has repeatedly oscillated within the $1.20–$1.35 range. The daily RSI has successfully broken above its downtrend line, indicating short-term bullish momentum is building. The price is currently testing the psychological $1.00 threshold. If it can hold this level and close above the 200-day moving average, it will trigger a bullish breakout signal from the current range; otherwise, a breakdown may lead to deeper corrections. Given the low-volume consolidation pattern, attention should be paid to the performance at key support and resistance levels to determine the next trend direction.

Toncoin is testing the crucial $1 support level, which has anchored its trading range for weeks. The $TON/$BTC pair's RSI breakout above its trendline signals early bullish momentum, but the 200 SMA remains key. A close above it could trigger a bullish range flip on the $USDT pair, while rejection may lead to a breakdown below $1, shifting the market bearish. Despite strong fundamentals and institutional moves, the chart's structure will determine Toncoin's near-term direction.

Toncoin Faces Crucial Test At The $1 Range, Will It Hold Or Break?

As one of the leading Layer-1 ecosystems, Toncoin has seen a steady increase in user numbers this past month, further cementing its status in the public chain space. Multiple Web3 gaming and DeFi partnerships are accelerating ecosystem adoption, including game and wallet infrastructure integrations via Telegram mini-programs, as well as multi-chain interoperability enhancements with DeFi protocols. These initiatives enhance user engagement and day-to-day use cases, thereby reinforcing long-term value support.

The latest data reveals the altcoins with the largest user bases, highlighting Layer-1 ecosystems as key drivers of adoption with millions of users. Leading the list are BNB Chain with 319.1 million token holders (+3.9%) and Ethereum with 303.7 million (+2.4%). Other notable projects include Tron, Solana, TON, and Polygon, showing varying growth rates over the past month. BNB Chain continues to hold the top position in user numbers.

List of Altcoins with the Most Users Released!

Slide.Fun, a Web3 gamified Telegram mini app on the $TON blockchain, has partnered with HyperSui, a non-custodial DEX on the Sui blockchain, to enhance its ecosystem by integrating HyperSui’s DeFi multichain utilities. This collaboration enables Slide.Fun users to access fast, low-cost, and transparent DeFi services, improving user experience and expanding the adoption of decentralized finance within Web3 gaming.

Slide.Fun Partners With HyperSui To Unlock Web3 Gaming With DeFi Multichain Utilities

Dynamic has integrated embedded wallet infrastructure for The Open Network ($TON) into Telegram Mini Apps, enabling developers to deploy $TON wallets automatically without building custom systems. This simplifies wallet deployment, transaction management, and asset security using Fireblocks’ custody and compliance stack. Targeting over 1 billion Telegram users, the move supports payments, trading, and financial features within Telegram apps, advancing the ecosystem amid growing demand for integrated finance platforms.

Dynamic adds embedded wallet infrastructure to TON for Telegram apps

$TON has partnered with Fireblocks and Dynamic to introduce native built-in wallet support for developers on Telegram. This collaboration eliminates the need for separate wallet contract deployment, vendor management, and upgrades, offering an inclusive stack for automatic wallet creation. The integration streamlines payment app launches within Telegram Mini Apps, supports over 51 million active wallets, and enables seamless, cost-free settlements using stablecoins, enhancing the developer and user experience.

TON Taps Fireblocks and Dynamic to Unlock Native Built-In Wallets

Institutional and large-holder participation is increasing in the market, with major public funds holding close to 220 million TON, giving them a clear cost advantage. Around 2.6 million tokens have been transferred between on-chain anonymous addresses, indicating active secondary market reallocations and potential arbitrage. These capital movements illustrate that institutions have a strong willingness to accumulate at lower levels. However, large transactions may still cause short-term market volatility.

According to ChainCatcher and Arkham data, at 05:59, 2.5965 million TON tokens, valued at approximately 3.2975 million USD, were transferred from one anonymous address (starting with Uf9u4c) to another anonymous address (starting with EQDGqH).

Data: 2.5965 million TON transferred from an anonymous address, valued at approximately 3.2975 million USD.

NASDAQ-listed TON Strategy reported holding 219.7 million TON tokens valued at $356.8 million as of December 31, 2025, and earned 2.185 million TON in staking rewards during the year. The company's total digital asset value was $356.8 million, with 2025 revenue of $12.8 million, while its operating loss increased to $36.4 million.

TON Strategy held 219.70 million TON as of the end of last year and received 2.1850 million TON in staking rewards.

Global energy and geopolitical volatility, coupled with tightening cryptocurrency regulations in several countries, are influencing overall risk appetite in crypto markets. In recent weeks, leading exchanges and regulators have upgraded compliance and custody frameworks for digital assets, which may heighten short-term market fluctuations. For Toncoin, both regulatory tailwinds and industry infrastructure improvements will build a long-term investment thesis, but short-term sentiment-driven selling due to external events remains a risk.

PANews weekly review covers key topics including Trump's hopes to end the Iran war quickly amid global energy market impacts, Russia's move to regulate cryptocurrencies as state-selected assets, and Fannie Mae accepting Bitcoin for mortgages. It highlights AI industry shifts with OpenAI shutting down Sora, debates on AI power centralization, and major blockchain infrastructure upgrades in Wall Street. The report also discusses crypto market challenges like Circle's stock plunge, Binance's market maker crackdown, and community backlash over Backpack's token launch.

A Week in Review | Trump hopes to end the war quickly, but Backpack's token launch has left the community disheartened.

Toncoin

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

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Toncoin Price: TON Live Price Today | TON Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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TON price today is 1.23, with a live price change of -1.98 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TON on Bybit-ge.

Track Toncoin live price, market cap, 24-hour trading range, and real-time chart data on Bybit-ge.

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