Recently, WIGL experienced a short-term bottom rebound driven by a recovery in liquidity. The increase in trading volume and fees indicates a beginning restoration of bullish/bearish sentiment, but the strength and sustainability of this rebound remain limited. Given the overall bearish macro environment and the lack of a confirmed medium- or long-term trend, investors are advised to avoid emotional buying at highs, focus on trend-following, and dynamically adjust their positions. Technically, there is currently a lack of clear support and resistance breakouts, so risks must be strictly controlled, pay attention to volume coordination, and set effective stop-losses. In the short term, watch the early January low as a support level; if the rebound lacks accompanying volume, a strategy of selling high and buying low with light positions is recommended.

Analysts point out that the inflow of liquidity has triggered a short-term rebound in the market. Judging from the recovered trading fees and volumes, WIGL exhibited typical bottom-rebound characteristics in early January. Although the rebound's strength is limited, it can be seen as an emotional recovery after bullish/bearish divergences gradually narrowed. Short-term investors may tactically time their entries based on changes in rebound strength and trading volume.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Market movements are driven by macro and industry trends, making it extremely difficult to time perfect buy and sell points. Compared to short-term speculation, following the broader trend is a more effective way to capture market swings. Even though the market is currently seeing periodic volatility, unless there is a fundamental shift in macro factors, the medium- and long-term trend remains to be further verified. Bulls should pay attention to confirmation signals of trend continuation instead of buying euphorically at highs.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

From trader behavior, trading fees and transaction volumes have not yet stabilized at healthy levels, indicating the market is still lingering in a downward cycle. Additionally, some short sellers may accelerate covering their positions during the current range-bound movements, which could lead to increased short-term volatility. On the technical side, as there is a lack of clear support and resistance breakouts, beware of false breakouts and sustained stagnation risks. Strict stop-loss and position management are advised.

Wigl

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