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The Bank of Japan signaled the possibility of a hike to its benchmark rate next month with a summary of views from last month’s board meeting that conveyed concerns over upside inflation risks stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.

Bitcoin Faces Its Biggest Macro Test of the Year as Fed Chair Uncertainty Collides With Inflation Fears

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.7%, while the probability of a rate cut in July is 5.4%.

Tuesday’s CPI report will be a “spicier” set of figures, the first in a series of readings this week that will feed into the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, according to Morgan Stanley’s global head of macro strategy.