BASED has experienced a strong short-term capital inflow fueled by a wave of listings on major exchanges and multiple incentive programs, leading to a significant increase in community engagement and market attention. However, daily trading volume has rapidly contracted, and the token price is consolidating between $0.08–$0.09, reflecting clear divergence between bulls and bears. Currently, it is advisable to closely monitor changes in trading volume. If the price can effectively break above and stabilize over $0.09, the bullish trend may continue; conversely, if volume remains subdued or macro liquidity tightens, the price could once again test the $0.08 support level in the short term. Overall strategy should involve prudent position management and vigilance against amplified volatility caused by incentive releases and external risk factors.

On March 27, Bybit added BASED to its spot trading pairs, followed by a first-time listing on Binance Alpha on March 30, which also launched USDT perpetual contracts for the token. The concentrated listings by multiple leading exchanges have significantly increased market attention. The initial round of capital quickly entered, fostering a strong bullish sentiment and driving the price to quickly break through early resistance. However, the release of initially locked tokens and cross-platform arbitrage unwinding may introduce significant volatility, so short-term fluctuation risks should be watched closely.

On March 27, Bybit announced it will list Based (BASED) in its spot trading zone. Based is a crypto super app within the Hyperliquid ecosystem, integrating trading, prediction markets, and crypto payments into a mobile wallet. The $BASED token incentivizes platform growth by offering fee reductions and spending cashback, enhancing users' onchain financial experience.

Bybit to Launch Based (BASED) Spot Trading

Amber Group transferred 50 million USDC to edgeX; Binance Alpha to launch BASED on March 30; a U.S. senator seeks clarity on Bitmain's national security review; Iranian President vows retaliation; OceanPal holds 51.3 million NEAR tokens; Polymarket and Parti.com partner for a live prediction market; California bans officials profiting from insider info in prediction markets; Polymarket traders earned $143 million in abnormal profits since 2024; Israeli army struck Iranian nuclear sites; BNB Beacon Chain recovery tool phase one ends in 3 days.

Planet Evening News

On March 30, Binance announced it will launch the BASED USDT perpetual contract.

Binance to List BASED USDT Perpetual Contracts

On March 30, Binance alpha officially launched BASED, as announced on their official page.

Binance alpha is now live BASED

Bybit launched a Launchpool event, allowing users to stake BASED or MNT to share a total of 3 million BASED rewards, further strengthening community token locking and ecosystem incentives. Meanwhile, prediction market trading volume related to BASED's market cap on Polymarket has exceeded $4 million, reflecting optimistic market expectations, with over 90% probability that FDV will surpass $50 million. Driven by multiple incentive mechanisms, community engagement and capital retention are expected to receive ongoing support.

Bybit announced a Launchpool event featuring BASED and MNT tokens, with a total prize pool of 3 million BASED. Users can stake BASED or MNT to participate, with 900,000 BASED allocated to the BASED pool and 2.1 million BASED to the MNT pool. The event runs from 18:00 on March 30, 2026, to 18:00 on April 6, 2026.

Bybit Launchpool to List BASED and MNT, with a Total Prize Pool of 3,000,000 BASED

On Polymarket, the probability that Based FDV will exceed $50 million within one day of launch is 91%. The chances of surpassing $75 million and $100 million within the same timeframe are 80% and 50%, respectively. The trading volume for this prediction event has already exceeded $4 million.

The probability of "Based FDV surpassing $50 million within 1 day after launch" on Polymarket is 91%.

On the daily chart, March 30 saw an initial gap-up move with about $552 million in trading volume, as the price peaked at $0.14 before quickly retracing to around $0.09. In the following two days, trading volume shrank sharply to $223 million and $286 million, and then to $114 million, with price oscillating within the $0.08–$0.09 range and building support near $0.085. If trading volume recovers and the price holds above the $0.09 resistance, further upside may follow; if activity continues to weaken, the $0.08 support might be retested.

Global macro liquidity is being squeezed by multiple factors such as energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks, generating a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. While BASED benefits from platform incentives and community activity, a decline in overall risk appetite or major policy and geopolitical events could weigh on its short-term performance. It is important to continuously monitor macroeconomic data and large capital flows to guard against volatility from sudden shifts in market sentiment.

Bitcoin remains in a narrow trading range amid constrained macro liquidity and unclear price direction. Multiple pressures from energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks compress market liquidity, leading to a cautious stance. Technical support lies between $67,000-$69,000, with resistance near $72,000. Without increased demand, the market is expected to stay range-bound, awaiting a breakout influenced by macroeconomic data, policy signals, and geopolitical developments.

Analysis: Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow range, macro liquidity is constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakout.

BASED

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

KPMG: The Federal Reserve is expected to be forced to raise interest rates in the second half of the year.

Trump warns of more strikes after Iran bridge attack, Bitcoin retreats

Market Analysis: Significant Increase in Non-Farm Payrolls Eases Employment Market Concerns, Fed's Cautious Stance Expected to Continue

US Non-Farm Payrolls Data Exceeds Expectations Much More! Here Are the Details

Analysis: The non-farm payroll data still shows obvious fluctuations, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy remains quite high.

Bybit-ge

Live chart for BASED to USD conversion. Check out BASED to USD prices in real time. Convert, buy, sell, and trade BASED on Bybit-ge.

BASED Price: BASED Live Price Today | BASED Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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