In summary, BERA remains under short-term pressure due to macro headwinds and weakening sentiment in the derivatives market. After the price retraced, there was a lack of effective support below 0.40, and market sentiment is dominated by wait-and-see and profit-taking. It is expected that there is still short-term downside risk. In the medium and long term, attention should be paid to substantial progress in fundamentals such as technological upgrades and ecosystem cooperation. Without innovation-driven factors and industry tailwinds, it will be difficult for significant incremental capital to enter. The strategic recommendation is to maintain cautious allocation, wait patiently for confirmation of stabilization in the 0.35-0.40 range, and look for catalysts from industry positives.

Since March, the Federal Reserve has maintained high interest rates and released hawkish signals. Slow inflation decline, rising oil prices, and weak employment have intensified market concerns about stagflation, directly suppressing the sustained upward momentum of risk assets. At the same time, mainstream digital asset regulations are gradually being clarified. Some exchanges and institutional products have received approval for registration, lowering the threshold for institutions to allocate to digital assets, but the market has yet to form a clear chase for gains. Examining BERA's daily chart, after peaking near 0.70 in mid-month, the price quickly pulled back. Although trading volume saw several spikes, there was insufficient follow-through to push prices higher, indicating that the cautious macro environment is translating into short-term profit-taking and wait-and-see sentiment. Overall, the current structure of "macro and regulatory headwinds + gradual clarity" means BERA remains under short-term pressure.

In March, the macro environment was generally bearish with the Fed maintaining rates but signaling hawkishness amid sticky inflation, rising oil prices, and weakening employment, raising stagflation concerns and delaying rate cut expectations. The US stock market weakened due to tariff uncertainties and geopolitical risks, pressuring risk assets. Crypto markets saw pulse-like volume spikes but lacked sustained momentum; BTC and ETH spot ETFs shifted from outflows to inflows, reflecting cautious risk appetite recovery. Regulatory clarity improved as SEC and CFTC classified 16 major digital assets as commodities, easing institutional entry barriers. BlackRock launched an Ethereum staking ETF, marking a shift toward yield-generating crypto products. Security incidents highlighted growing risks in off-chain infrastructure and key management. April is critical for crypto regulation with the CLARITY Act's progress and Ethereum's major upgrade testing, alongside Fed leadership changes, all influencing market direction.

BitMart VIP Insights: March Crypto Market Review and Hotspot Analysis

Recently, bears have prevailed in the Bitcoin derivatives market. Forced liquidations for bulls and sharp fluctuations in overnight funding rates reflect heightened vigilance regarding downside risks. Meanwhile, futures open interest has dropped sharply, and leverage is at historically low levels, making it possible for even small inflows of capital to have a significant price impact. BERA's market performance has also been affected; after briefly testing above 0.52, the price quickly reversed and fell below 0.40, showing that weakening derivatives market sentiment is transmitting to spot prices. Against the backdrop of collective leverage withdrawal, any increase in long positions faces insufficient liquidity and forced liquidation risk, limiting price support in the short term.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr reports that Bitcoin's derivatives market is dominated by short positions, with the 30-day moving average of the Bitcoin position index falling from +3.0 to -3.1 since mid-March, reflecting growing short accumulation and a weakening market structure. Liquidation oscillation has risen to 18.6%, indicating ongoing forced liquidations of long positions. The market shows no signs of a bullish reversal, suggesting continued downside risk and advising risk avoidance.

Analyst: Bitcoin derivatives market dominated by shorts, bulls continue to face liquidation pressure.

Although the underlying blockchain technology and applications continue to evolve, the five core obstacles on the retail side—regulatory uncertainty, security risks, tax burdens, user experience, and social recognition—still hinder the influx of new users. Coupled with a global economic slowdown and heightened geopolitical tensions, there is no clear short-term catalyst to reverse the wait-and-see stance of mainstream users. Meanwhile, accelerated investment in AI, Ethereum ecosystem upgrade tests, and the potential impact of quantum computing on crypto security provide new directions for value restructuring in the industry. For BERA, if technical iteration or ecosystem cooperation can be substantively implemented, incremental capital may accumulate in the medium-to-long-term; otherwise, in an environment of overall market weakness, a cautious approach should be maintained.

Tiger Research's report analyzes the decline of retail cryptocurrency investors despite rapid market growth, focusing on nine major Asian markets. It identifies five core barriers—regulatory uncertainty, security risks, tax burdens, usability challenges, and social perception—that hinder new user adoption. The report details diverse regulatory and market conditions across Northeast and Southeast Asia, examines exchange strategies for user acquisition, and highlights the need for localized education, transparency, and trust-building before the next crypto bull market.

Tiger Research: Analysis of the Current Status of Retail Investors in Nine Major Asian Markets

This research analyzes the entry barriers for retail investors in nine major Asian markets and examines the responses of exchanges to these challenges.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0328-0403) curates insightful content amid fast information flow, covering global economic recession as a strategic state affecting growth and geopolitical power. Highlights include Buffett's cautious market stance, massive AI investments fueling inflation, Bitcoin's mining challenges, and Google's quantum breakthroughs impacting crypto security. The edition also explores shifts in investment models, AI adoption in crypto, payment industry dynamics, and key policy updates.

Weekly Editor's Picks (03/28-04/03)

Berachain

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BERA price today is 0.41, with a live price change of -1.06 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BERA on Bybit-ge.

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