The BIG market is currently at the intersection of confidence recovery and technical consolidation: the clarification of risk events has driven market sentiment from pessimism to stabilization, with marginal improvement in investor confidence, a pause in selling pressure, and the price maintaining a range-bound consolidation. Trading volume has mildly recovered, and short-term moving averages show early signs of turning, indicating exploratory capital entering the market. If the BIG price effectively breaks through and stabilizes above the key resistance levels (see daily major moving averages, around the 3.10-3.25 range), a new round of proactive rally may be initiated. It is recommended to monitor trading volume and the continuity of positive news; until confirmation signals appear, maintain position flexibility to guard against range volatility and secondary correction risks.

Recent suspicions regarding insider trading at Polymarket have been clarified by authoritative analysts, alleviating market concerns over uncertain activities. With risk events removed, investor trust in on-chain activities has improved, leading to steadier market sentiment. From a daily chart perspective for BIG, while the price remains in a consolidation range, there is no significant increase in selling pressure, indicating short-term selling has eased and may provide psychological support for subsequent bullish moves.

Bubblemaps analysis challenges claims of insider trading on Polymarket, highlighting flaws in linking a Polymarket insider's receipt of about 250 SOL from Coinbase to a prior similar deposit with a 99% correlation. They point out issues like large time gaps, ignoring other assets, and multiple matching cases within the same day. Deposits could stem from various sources or older transactions. They warn that improper use of time analysis can lead to incorrect conclusions.

Bubblemaps: Some analyses targeting Polymarket insiders in the market are flawed.

According to macro market data, several analysis institutions have pointed out that the crypto market may have bottomed and is starting to recover, with overall sentiment shifting from pessimistic to neutral-to-bullish. For BIG specifically, recent trading volumes have not surged explosively but have modestly ticked up from the lows, signaling that capital is beginning to enter cautiously. Technically, short-term moving averages have flattened and begun to turn upwards slightly, suggesting a potential early trend formation that requires more volume confirmation to solidify direction.

Based on both news flow and technical analysis, BIG currently faces short-term range fluctuations. Confidence recovery and sentiment improvement provide external momentum for prices to break out of consolidation; technically, if the price can stably stand above key moving averages and resistance levels in the coming sessions, a proactive rally may emerge; conversely, if market sentiment reverses again or low trading volumes persist, beware of the risk of a secondary correction. From a trading psychology perspective, investors will gradually increase their positions once positive news is confirmed, paying close attention to subsequent changes in trading volume and key price breakouts.

CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

Bank of England set to hold rates as Iran war clouds outlook

Gold held losses after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady and said the war in Iran was clouding the economic outlook.

ECB to hold rates steady but keep hikes firmly on the table

Brazil’s central bank cut its key interest rate by a quarter point for a second straight meeting, even as inflation accelerates and signs of economic resilience emerge.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Drop As Fed Holds Rates and Trump Rejects Iran Deal

Bitcoin Dips Under $76K as Fed Holds Rates in Rare 8-4 Split

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