The current market performance of BLK is driven by an overall improvement in sentiment, which may present short-term structural rebound opportunities. However, the sustainability of this rebound still depends on subsequent coordination of volume and price, as well as effective buy-side participation. Caution is advised against chasing highs and price volatility risks caused by insufficient liquidity. From a mid- to long-term perspective, the bull market logic of the industry, driven by policy and technology, remains unchanged, and BLK is considered to have sustained allocation value. Operational suggestions: In the short term, pay close attention to changes in trading volume, strictly control position sizing and slippage risk; in the medium term, regard the current price range as a strategic entry point, prioritize allocating to projects with strong capabilities and improving fundamentals, and downplay the interference of short-term fluctuations.

Since the beginning of the year, analysis from authoritative on-chain data institutions indicates that the crypto market has shown signs of stabilizing after the decline, with investor sentiment gradually shifting from extreme caution to a wait-and-see or even mildly optimistic stance. Although more confirmation signals are still needed at this stage, attention to bottom-fishing opportunities has increased significantly in the market. For BLK, this means that, in an environment where risk appetite is slightly rising, effective buy-side participation could potentially lead to a brief price rebound. Traders should focus on the coordination between subsequent trading volume and price patterns, and strictly rely on the volume-price relationship as a basis, to avoid the risk of buying at highs caused by simply chasing upward trends.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From both macro and industry fundamental perspectives, many experienced practitioners believe that, despite cyclical fluctuations, the dual drivers of policy and technology lay a solid foundation for sustained growth in 2024 and beyond. According to these views, the ecological value represented by BLK will continue to gain recognition in the mid- to long-term bull market environment. Investors can view the current position as a window of opportunity for allocation, focusing on project progress and future development trajectory, rather than just short-term fluctuations, in order to fully capture long-term value realization.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Market research shows that short-term contract liquidity in the crypto market is significantly weaker than in other categories, with trading volume highly concentrated in a few popular contracts. For BLK—which is already not sufficiently liquid—large limit orders or stop-loss orders in short-term trades may have a significant impact on price, exacerbating slippage and volatility. When implementing short-term strategies, traders need to reasonably control position size and order concentration, and have robust risk management plans in place to avoid unsystematic risks caused by lack of liquidity.

BlackCoin

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Strategist: The latest non-farm payroll data presents a complex situation for the Federal Reserve.

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