Since mid-April, COINX has experienced a strong rebound driven by improved macro risk appetite and the rollout of innovative features, with cumulative gains exceeding 20%. However, short-term profit-taking pressure from on-chain positions and intensified large address competitions are evident. The 175-172 range is expected to serve as the initial support zone; if breached, a retest of 170 may occur. Institutions and long-term allocators are advised to accumulate at key support levels, while monitoring the breakout of the 197.5-200 range. Should the breakout be accompanied by increased volume, the trend is likely to continue. Caution should be taken regarding temporary pullbacks caused by technical overbought conditions and market sentiment fluctuations, providing an optimal window for portfolio adjustments.

Since April 13, COINX rapidly rebounded from around 162, posting over 20% cumulative gains across four consecutive trading days and closing near a two-month high on April 16. This upward move coincides with a broad-based recovery in risk appetite for crypto assets—tensions from geopolitical events have eased, and hawkish expectations for monetary policy among major central banks have redirected capital toward risk assets. Additionally, multiple market sentiment and derivatives funding indicators shifted from bearish to neutral or even bullish, further validating current structural upside momentum.

10x Research analysis indicates Bitcoin is approaching a significant breakout, with internal trend models detecting a shift and market sentiment, positions, and capital flow data confirming structural changes. Despite concerns about quantum computing threats emerging around 2030-2035, current technical indicators show constructive momentum and multiple signals suggest a high probability of short-term upward movement. The key question remains if this will lead to a new bull market and all-time highs.

Analysis: Bitcoin may face a critical breakthrough, multiple indicators resonate pointing to an upward window.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

As of April 8, with Bitcoin surpassing $74,000, data from Coinglass shows that funding rates on major centralized and decentralized exchanges indicate a significant weakening of bearish sentiment, with many rates returning to neutral. Funding rates, used to balance perpetual contract prices with underlying assets, reflect market sentiment: rates above 0.01% suggest bullishness, while rates below 0.005% indicate bearishness.

The current mainstream CEX and DEX funding rates indicate a significant weakening of the bearish market sentiment.

The recently introduced unified asset label feature on the social platform enables users to view token prices in real-time within the native environment and directly link to contract addresses, with upcoming features planned for one-click broker trading. Such innovations substantially boost COINX's visibility and trading convenience for end users, expected to broaden the user base and deepen both on-chain and platform trading activity, fundamentally supporting the token's long-term liquidity and application ecosystem.

X has launched the Cashtags feature on iPhone in the US and Canada, providing users with real-time financial data for stocks and cryptocurrencies. Users can search or post content with Cashtags or contract addresses to see matched assets and price charts without leaving the app. X is piloting integration with Canadian broker Wealthsimple, allowing in-app trading. Plans include expanding Cashtags to web, Android, and global markets.

X launches Cashtags feature in the US and Canada, providing real-time financial data including cryptocurrencies, and pilots integrated trading with brokerages.

On-chain data shows large holder addresses have recently engaged in concentrated selling, increasing short-term profit-taking pressure and signaling potential for localized volatility if market sentiment shifts. Meanwhile, continued net outflows from centralized exchanges indicate long-term investors are actively moving assets into wallet custody, suggesting strategic positioning for further upside. In the short to medium term, it's important to monitor profit-taking and cost-level competitions for their impact on price. Accepting pullbacks could present favorable entry opportunities.

CryptoQuant's research head Julio Moreno warns that Bitcoin's recent price rise faces increasing profit-taking risks, with on-chain indicators showing growing sell pressure. Bitcoin is testing the key "realized price" resistance at $76,800, historically a strong bearish barrier. Large transactions have surged, indicating stronger short-term selling. If Bitcoin stays above $76,000, realized profits may exceed $1 billion daily, intensifying sell-offs and potential price pullbacks.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin on-chain indicators show increasing selling pressure, rising risk of profit-taking

According to analyst Darkfrost, Bitcoin has experienced nearly daily net outflows from centralized exchanges (CEX) for almost two months, with an average monthly net outflow of 1,640 BTC since March. This trend indicates investor accumulation and is seen as a positive signal of reduced selling pressure, suggesting that Bitcoin is moving from exchanges to long-term holding wallets during the current price consolidation phase.

Analysis: Bitcoin CEX net outflows have continued for nearly two months, indicating the market has entered an accumulation phase.

From a daily technical standpoint, COINX's primary support is located in the 175-172 range; if this region is lost, the 170 threshold will be crucially tested. Resistance is set at the 197.48-200 level, with a breakout potentially clearing the upper bounds of a half-year consolidation. The relative strength index is approaching overbought territory—divergence risks should be watched. If trading volume expands and prices hold above resistance, confirmation of trend continuation becomes more reliable.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Coinbase xStock

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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