The current LILB market exhibits characteristics of a short-term sentiment recovery resonating with long-term bull market logic. On-chain indicators and a rebound in trading sentiment suggest a phase rally, but a sustained trend will still require ongoing support from trading volume and volatility—avoid blindly chasing highs. In the medium to long term, a favorable macro environment and supportive policies continue to enhance the value of asset allocation; it is recommended to maintain core positions, gradually increase holdings in high-quality assets during dips, and pay attention to support ranges (such as the recent LILB support range of 7.60-8.10). The strategy should primarily focus on trend holding, combined with dynamic risk control, while waiting for the main rally phase driven by valuation.

Recent market performance shows signs of warming in multiple on-chain indicators and trading sentiment, indicating increased participation in risk assets from investors. Although the rebound is not yet strong enough to establish a medium- to long-term trend, the current phase can be regarded as an initial signal of sentiment repair. Traders should monitor the ongoing feedback from trading volume and volatility to confirm whether the market has truly exited its earlier consolidation range and avoid operational risks from prematurely anticipating a turning point.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From a macroeconomic and industry development perspective, value investing and trend investing will become mainstream. The current macro environment and policy orientation lay a solid foundation for a long-term positive outlook in the crypto market, and high-quality assets are expected to gradually reflect valuation-driven effects as liquidity improves. Short-term bears will gradually exit during periods of high volatility, reducing subsequent withdrawal pressure and creating a clearer window for value investors to deploy positions.

Lil Brett

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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