SHIBEMP is currently benefiting from the improved macro liquidity in the crypto market but faces pressure from capital siphoning by utility tokens and institutional portfolio reallocation. In the short term, the market is expected to remain highly volatile (anticipated range: -15%~+20%), with any rebound relying on community-driven marketing momentum. It is recommended to control positions at high levels and closely monitor community activities and shifts in market structure. In the medium-to-long term, unless the project can continuously expand real use cases and optimize its tokenomics, it is likely to be marginalized amid the wave of compliance and institutionalization. Capital allocation should remain defensive, and caution is advised against pursuing at high prices.

Recently, Bitcoin has rebounded above $90,000, with Ethereum and other major assets rising in tandem, indicating continued improvement in liquidity. However, the market as a whole remains in a recovery phase, with risk appetite not fully released and sentiment indicators still cautious. For SHIBEMP, while it can participate in the sector-wide uptrend, short-term price fluctuations are likely to stay choppy until liquidity fully returns.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

As funds shift toward DeFi and AI-themed tokens with real-world utility, the utility token index has significantly outperformed, while the Meme coin sector has underperformed or declined. As a community-driven project, SHIBEMP faces marginalization risks as mainstream capital reallocates, potentially coming under short-term pressure.

On January 6, with Bitcoin holding above $93,000, the crypto market saw funds shift from Meme coins to tokens with practical applications, notably AI-themed tokens. Functional indices like DeFi and metaverse rose over 4%, while Meme coin indices remained flat or declined. Render Network surged about 20%, and other AI tokens gained over 6%. This trend aligns with optimism in AI and tech stocks, though geopolitical risks and US employment data may impact sentiment. Continued Bitcoin ETF inflows are crucial for further gains.

Analysis: The crypto market's rebound momentum strengthens, with AI concept tokens outperforming Meme coins.

Even though the sector as a whole faces headwinds, select Meme coins have posted over 30% gains thanks to community hype and event-driven momentum. This shows there is still speculative interest in high-profile projects. If SHIBEMP can make strides in community engagement and topic marketing, it may attract new capital during sentiment-driven rallies, though sustained performance should be viewed with caution due to pullback risks.

Key market insights from January 4th highlight major movements in the crypto space: Jupiter co-founder considers halting JUP buybacks, with community suggesting rewards for long-term holders; Solana's meme coin WOULD briefly surpassed $100 million market cap before settling at $85 million; meme coins BONK and MYX surged over 31% and 61% respectively; BSC's Hakimi market cap rose to $40 million. Additionally, notable articles discuss a failed US raid on Venezuela's Maduro and key events shaping the 2026 market outlook.

Key market insights from January 4th, how much did you miss?

The sector is rapidly moving toward compliance and institutionalization, with capital increasingly focused on projects with regulatory endorsement and stable income structures. Industry consolidation and mergers are accelerating. In the medium-to-long term, community-based Meme coins must strengthen their real-world applications or improve tokenomics to stand out to institutional investors. Otherwise, they will face dual challenges of liquidity and valuation.

The crypto industry is transitioning from extreme volatility to institutionalization: Bitcoin's market value fell 8%, underperforming gold and tech stocks. Capital is increasingly concentrated in compliant CeFi sectors, with intensified structural differentiation in the primary market. A wave of mergers, acquisitions, and IPOs signals accelerated consolidation in 2026, where larger players will absorb smaller ones.

RootData 2025 Web3 Industry Annual Report

Shiba Inu Empire

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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