Driven by the dual factors of easing geopolitical tensions and the widespread adoption of intelligent fund management tools, SPELL has recently demonstrated strong support in the 0.000158–0.000160 range and is expected to rebound in the short term along with the broader market to the 0.00018–0.000185 range. In the mid-term, close attention should be paid to large players' net buying trends and improvements in liquidity transparency. If enlarged trading volume combines with net inflow, it could drive a breakout in the price range. Long-term direction is significantly impacted by the pace of regulation and the expansion of application scenarios. It is recommended to continue monitoring the effectiveness of support at 0.00016, with compliance progress as the core risk control consideration.

Recently, expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire have greatly boosted market risk appetite, leading to a strong rebound in major assets such as BTC and ETH, and consequently a short-term surge in secondary tokens. From the daily chart of SPELL, the 0.000158–0.000160 range has been repeatedly defended, indicating accumulating sentiment at lower levels. During the overall market rebound, SPELL approached resistance around 0.000174, accompanied by a slight increase in trading volume, reflecting a willingness of short-term capital to participate in the rally. If the broader market remains strong, SPELL is likely to experience a corrective rebound into the 0.00018–0.000185 range.

Expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire have triggered a market rebound, with BTC nearing $72,000 and ETH approaching $2,200 resistance levels. Global risk assets rallied, oil prices dropped over 6% amid peace hopes, and US stock futures rose. Bitcoin showed resilience with a strong rebound near $71,000, while Ethereum paused before $2,200. Market sentiment eased, but analysts remain divided on whether the rally will sustain or face a downturn.

Trading moment: Expectations of a ceasefire between the US and Iran lead to a market rebound, with BTC and ETH approaching resistance levels of 72K and 2200, respectively.

The emergence and adoption of intelligent fund tracking and data analysis tools help reveal potential movements of large players and improve investment efficiency. With the growing prevalence of tracking platforms, liquidity distribution within the SPELL ecosystem may become more transparent, enabling the early detection of sudden volatility events. Considering the current daily trading volume fluctuating between 60 million and 200 million, if intelligent tracking tools indicate continuous net buying by large players, it is expected to drive a breakout from the current consolidation range of 0.00017–0.00018.

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Regulatory agencies in multiple countries are accelerating the institutionalization of crypto assets, bringing positive developments such as certain assets being recognized as legitimate asset classes, while also imposing compliance-driven volatility pressures. From a medium- to long-term perspective, SPELL needs to find its driving force in compliance and the expansion of application scenarios. If macro policy further clarifies the compliance status of tokens, it will provide confidence support for market participants; conversely, tighter regulation may increase selling pressure and test the critical support level at 0.00016.

The Spellcaster

BoK: Higher inflation path points to July hike – ING

US strikes on Iran heighten odds of military escalation

The Bank of Canada: The Iran war should not overshadow other economic risks.

Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

Exclusive: Bank of England's Bailey says investors should not count on UK rate hikes

What Friday's high-profile US jobs report means for Bitcoin price

Is the Middle East war really coming to an end?

Eurozone: Inflation sparks ECB rate repricing – DBS

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