TREE's recent price has been suppressed by macro high interest rates and tightening liquidity, with a short-term breakdown below the key 0.062 support. Shrinking trading volume reflects seller dominance. Although risk appetite briefly warmed as geopolitical tensions eased, the rebound was limited. In the medium to long term, institutional entry and clearer regulation provide a valuation floor, supporting the bottom. Investors are advised to watch the 0.066-0.068 resistance zone and the volume trend. A breakout with high volume can signal a bullish turning point, but a defensive stance remains recommended in the short term. Major trends require confirmation from a steadier macro environment and clear structural inflows.

Recently, macroeconomic conditions such as high interest rates and inflationary pressures have caused overall market liquidity to come under stress. With the rise in oil prices and renewed geopolitical risks, risk assets as a whole face downward pressure. TREE's price retreated from around 0.070 in mid-March, dropping to as low as 0.0646 on March 21, and continued descending to 0.0588 on April 1, breaking below the key 0.062 support level. During the same period, trading volumes contracted significantly, indicating seller momentum is dominant and that it's difficult for bulls to stage an effective short-term rally.

Bitcoin remains in a narrow trading range amid constrained macro liquidity and unclear price direction. Multiple pressures from energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks compress market liquidity, leading to a cautious stance. Technical support lies between $67,000-$69,000, with resistance near $72,000. Without increased demand, the market is expected to stay range-bound, awaiting a breakout influenced by macroeconomic data, policy signals, and geopolitical developments.

Analysis: Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow range, macro liquidity is constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakout.

An increase in risk appetite sparked by peace expectations provided a brief boost to the crypto market. TREE was lifted by this on March 25, closing at 0.0659 in a single day, but quickly faced pressure and retreated the following day, showing that market caution was not fully alleviated. This rebound relied mainly on short-term macro and energy price volatility and lacked internal fundamental or technical catalysts, making a sustained upward trend difficult to maintain.

Expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire have triggered a market rebound, with BTC nearing $72,000 and ETH approaching $2,200 resistance levels. Global risk assets rallied, oil prices dropped over 6% amid peace hopes, and US stock futures rose. Bitcoin showed resilience with a strong rebound near $71,000, while Ethereum paused before $2,200. Market sentiment eased, but analysts remain divided on whether the rally will sustain or face a downturn.

Trading moment: Expectations of a ceasefire between the US and Iran lead to a market rebound, with BTC and ETH approaching resistance levels of 72K and 2200, respectively.

As regulatory authorities clarify the classification of major digital assets and ETF inflows appear, market risk appetite is expected to gradually recover over the medium to long term. Although TREE has not yet shown a clear trend reversal in the short term, increasing institutional allocation interest and improved industry transparency should underpin the recovery in overall valuation and support potential future rebounds. Investors should closely monitor trading volume and any breakout above the key 0.066-0.068 resistance level to confirm a return of bullish momentum.

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