Driven by a rebound in macro risk appetite and the Fed's policy shift, VIRTUAL's short-term performance has been affected by market sentiment, showing high sensitivity to the rotation logic of major cryptocurrencies. The current phase sees bottom support in the $0.627–0.639 range, with key resistance at $0.702–0.704. If the bulls break through and hold above the resistance, further upside potential could be expected; otherwise, short-term retracement risk from profit-taking pressures must be guarded against. Inclusion in the Grayscale consideration list has significantly increased institutional attention and medium- to long-term allocation expectations—future product launches may directly boost market capitalization and liquidity. Strategy suggestion: accumulate in batches near support, moderately add on a breakout above $0.704, strictly stop-loss below $0.62, and flexibly adjust holdings in accordance with the macro environment and sector rotation pace.

Recently, easing geopolitical tensions and a dovish turn by the Federal Reserve have boosted risk assets, with Bitcoin breaking four-week highs and testing the $75,000 level, lifting both market liquidity and risk appetite. Against this backdrop, VIRTUAL has shown strong correlation with major altcoins, retreating after hitting a high of $0.8007 on March 16, and briefly rebounding to $0.6994 on April 13 amid market resonance before falling back toward $0.6698 near the 100-day moving average. Overall, long and short sentiment alternates; while an improved macro environment provides notable catch-up momentum, investors should be vigilant about profit‐taking retracements when testing key resistance levels.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Grayscale’s addition of VIRTUAL to its future investment product consideration list signals initial recognition of its potential allocation value by a top digital asset management institution. This move is likely to draw the attention and allocation from institutions and high-net-worth investors if Grayscale formally includes it or launches related products, further strengthening market confidence. In the medium to long term, if such products materialize, VIRTUAL is expected to gain substantial support in liquidity and valuation, generating new incremental demand.

Technically, VIRTUAL has received effective support multiple times in the $0.627–0.639 range, especially around the lows of April 6 and April 12. Resistance is focused in the $0.702–0.704 zone, where it has repeatedly failed to close above. Short-term investors may consider entering in batches near the support area and watch for signs confirming a bounce; if price breaks and holds above $0.704, consider increasing positions. It is recommended to place strict stop-loss orders below $0.62 to guard against downward risk from macro or sector-wide pullbacks.

Virtuals Protocol

EUR/GBP: UK front-end underperforms Eurozone – ING

Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation: Bank of Japan may still raise interest rates in April

Former Treasury Secretary and ex-Fed Chair Janet Yellen says she still sees prospects for a US rate cut later this year, though the unfolding oil shock caused by the war in Iran clouds the outlook.

Why Is Crypto Up Today? Cooling Inflation and Fed Rate Cut Bets Spark Market Rally

ECB’s Lane says persistent inflation could still force rate hikes

Former US Treasury Secretary Yellen: Still believes the Fed is likely to cut interest rates this year.

Goolsbee: The Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates until 2027.

Ethereum briefly surges to $2,400 as geopolitical relief boosts crypto, stocks

Dollentz: The European Central Bank will raise interest rates if the inflation impact lasts longer.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April is currently 99.5%.

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Virtuals Protocol Price: VIRTUAL Live Price Today | VIRTUAL Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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VIRTUAL price today is 0.67, with a live price change of -1.68 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade VIRTUAL on Bybit-ge.

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