DGB is currently in the $0.00448–$0.00500 range, oscillating at the bottom and forming a base pattern. Changes in trading volume confirm the effectiveness of support below. On the macro front, increased market risk appetite is driving a short-term rebound, but negative funding rates and negative Gamma effects in the derivatives market indicate limited bullish strength. Strategy-wise, closely monitor the $0.00448 support and $0.00500 resistance. If the support is breached, beware of a correction risk triggered by weakening sentiment. Operations should dynamically track Bitcoin’s key resistance and changes in market risk appetite, maintain strict position control, and prioritize a high-sell-low-buy strategy within the range.

From the daily chart between March 18 and April 16, DGB price rebounded from $0.00389, briefly reaching $0.00503 on April 7, signaling a low-level oscillating upward trend. It then retraced to around $0.00448 for consolidation, forming a short-term range of $0.00448–$0.00500. Trading volume significantly increased during the early rebound stage and gradually shrank during the pullback, indicating effective support below. The current price is near the middle track, with long-short divergence not fully resolved, but the short-term tendency remains bullish.

Recently, the overall market leverage has dropped significantly, with Bitcoin futures open interest falling from a peak of around $42 billion to about $21 billion, leading to more cautious risk appetite. Mitigation of geopolitical tensions has driven Bitcoin to repeatedly break the $73,000 mark, resulting in synchronized moves among major cryptocurrencies as well as mid- and small-cap coins. Against the backdrop of capital inflows, DGB strengthened in tandem after April 8, rebounding from $0.00465 to $0.00496, demonstrating a positive response to recovering market risk appetite.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

Although Bitcoin continues to reach new highs, the derivatives market is still experiencing negative funding rates and negative Gamma effects, prompting cautious bullish positioning. Ahead of Bitcoin approaching the $75,000 key moving average resistance, long-short rivalry intensifies, causing risk appetite to fluctuate. If DGB again approaches the $0.00500 resistance intraday, short-term profit-taking may occur, while a break below the $0.00448 support warrants caution for a retest toward the $0.00430 level. It is recommended to closely watch changes in derivatives market funding rates and the impact of Bitcoin's key resistance points.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

DigiByte

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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