Currently, Ethereum is undergoing a short-term correction with increased volume due to geopolitical risks. If oil prices continue to rise, market pressure may persist. However, ETF approval expectations and sustained institutional inflows—evidenced by a net increase in iShares Ethereum Trust funds—highlight that mainstream capital is actively positioning in the Ethereum ecosystem amid macroeconomic easing, consolidating its medium- to long-term value. Technically, focus on support in the $2,300 range; a breakdown could trigger substantial forced liquidations and notably increase downside risk. The upside resistance is at $2,394-$2,415. If broken, short positions may face covering pressure. Strategy suggestion: For the short- to medium-term, monitor the effectiveness of the $2,274-$2,300 support range and watch the momentum of the $2,400 breakout, dynamically adjusting position configuration according to policy and capital flow trends.

Recently, negotiations between the US and Iran broke down and the Strait of Hormuz was blocked, leading to a spike in oil prices and rising inflation concerns, which lowered risk appetite. Ethereum's price retraced from the April 13 high of $2,369 to around $2,322, with trading volume increasing as prices fell, reflecting the market's sensitivity to geopolitical risks. This stage is primarily driven by sentiment, and if oil prices continue to rise, it will exacerbate liquidity tensions and exert pressure on digital assets.

The US-Iran negotiations failed after over 20 hours of talks in Islamabad, escalating Middle East tensions. This led to the US initiating a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil transit route, pushing oil prices higher and increasing global inflation concerns. Bitcoin hovered around $71,000 but faced selling pressure amid market uncertainty and tightening liquidity. Despite short-term weakness, experts remain structurally optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects.

US-Iran negotiations collapse, Bitcoin battles to defend the $70K level.

QCP's latest report highlights that the breakdown of US-Iran talks over the weekend pushed oil prices above $100, reducing market risk appetite. Bitcoin faced resistance near $74,000, while Ethereum dropped from $2,330 to $2,180, prompting short-term adjustments. Despite geopolitical tensions and potential disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, market volatility has returned to pre-conflict levels. Bitcoin ETFs continue to see inflows, shifting focus from policy statements to actual implementation.

QCP: US-Iran negotiation breakdown triggers risk aversion, Bitcoin struggles to surpass $74K

As anticipation for the approval of an Ethereum spot ETF intensifies, Uniswap's daily trading volume has climbed back above $2 billion, reflecting increased demand for ETH and stablecoin trading. Meanwhile, iShares Ethereum Trust has seen nearly $200 million in consecutive net inflows, demonstrating institutions are actively allocating to the Ethereum ecosystem and DeFi growth potential. Additionally, Gate Ventures highlights that against a backdrop of easing macro risks, prudent capital is cautiously returning to network upgrades and compliant assets, further supporting Ethereum's long-term value.

Uniswap's daily trading volume recently surpassed $2 billion, marking a nearly one-year high. This surge is primarily driven by expectations for the approval of Ethereum spot ETFs, boosting market activity. As a leading decentralized exchange in the Ethereum ecosystem, Uniswap's volume reflects market sentiment, with major trading pairs including ETH/USDC and ETH/USDT, showing growing demand for stablecoin exchanges.

Analysis: Uniswap daily trading volume exceeds $2.00B, hitting a nearly one-year high

Bitcoin reclaimed its peak with $872 million inflows, contributing to a total year-to-date inflow of nearly $2 billion, despite some investor expectations of a decline. Ethereum saw $169.5 million inflows but remains in net outflow for the year. XRP and Chainlink had smaller inflows, while Solana and Sui experienced outflows. Overall, $1.1 billion flowed into cryptocurrency products last week, driven by lower inflation and improved geopolitical stability, with the US leading regional inflows.

Weekly Critical Report for Bitcoin (BTC) and Altcoins! Bitcoin Reclaims its Peak, While Money Flows to Two Altcoins!

BlackRock increased its cryptocurrency exposure last week by purchasing approximately $780 million worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum through its spot ETFs. The iShares Bitcoin Trust saw net inflows of about $612 million, a 3,636% rise from the previous week, while the iShares Ethereum Trust attracted $186 million after prior outflows. BlackRock’s crypto holdings total around $62.46 billion, reflecting renewed institutional confidence despite prices remaining below peak levels.

BlackRock bought $780 million of these two cryptocurrencies last week.

From a daily chart perspective, Ethereum began its rebound from $2,065 in early April, surging to a high of $2,415 before retracing and currently hovering around $2,300. If the price falls below $2,274, it may trigger more than $1.7 billion in long liquidations, significantly increasing downside risk. The resistance level above is in the $2,394 to $2,415 range; if this is broken and stabilized, short positions could face $1.1 billion in liquidation risks. In the short term, it is advised to monitor whether $2,300 support holds and the strength of a potential breakout at the $2,400 mark.

Ethereum shows short-term price divergence around $2400. Intuition founder billΞ.eth sold 3,285 ETH at $2,372, totaling 8,771 ETH sold since March 8, nearly clearing his holdings. Address 0x455...A433E swapped 2,831 WETH for 90.46 WBTC, indicating a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. Meanwhile, large trader nemorino.eth bought 1,347.37 ETH at an average of $2,226.54, starting a new bullish phase.

Ethereum shows signs of a long-short divergence, with Intuition's founder selling 3,285 ETH.

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