Although the market is showing signs of recovery, the volume remains insufficient, and there is significant divergence between bulls and bears at resistance levels. The sustainability of the short-term rebound depends on the effective breakout of key resistance ranges. If resistance holds, beware of a false breakout followed by a pullback risk. In terms of operations, it is recommended to control position size, participate in swing opportunities in batches, and set stop-loss and take-profit levels at key support and resistance zones. For medium to long-term investments, wait for a significant increase in trading volume and signs of volume-price rally; do not blindly increase positions during the early rebound stage, and adjust position and risk exposure dynamically.

Recently, market sentiment has shown signs of stabilization, but trading volume has not increased significantly, and divergences between bulls and bears persist. The current price rebound is mostly concentrated within the previous consolidation range; unless key resistance levels are effectively broken, the market may retest support in the short term. Investors should focus on the sustainability of breakouts at resistance levels to confirm if the recovery has further continuation potential.

In the context of improving market sentiment, short-term bullish momentum may strengthen, but given insufficient overall liquidity recovery, it is advisable to control position size and participate in swing operations moderately. Reduce holdings in batches during rebounds, and set stop-losses at key prices to manage pullback risk.

From a medium to long-term perspective, if liquidity continues to pick up and both price and volume increase, it will provide strong support for the continuation of the trend. However, current data is still insufficient to determine a medium to long-term reversal. Investors should remain patient, avoid excessive chasing during the initial rebound phase, and continuously assess positions and risk control strategies as market data evolves.

forever alone

Federal Reserve's Williams indicates monetary policy is slightly tight, with no reason for rate hikes or cuts.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 96.8%, and the probability of keeping them unchanged in July is 93.8%.

Williams: Considering inflation remains persistently above target, the context is crucial.

The Bank of England should raise interest rates to fight off strong inflation spillovers from the Iran energy shock, according to its chief economist who set out his case for active policy in an unpredictable world.

TD Securities: The US dollar may still weaken even if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates.

Federal Reserve's Schmied: Inflation remains the biggest risk, but the US economy shows resilience.

Schmidt: Persistent inflation is the most urgent risk facing the economy.

Why bitcoin’s recent climb to $80,000 might just be a temporary liquidity squeeze

Fed: Extended pause before cautious easing – UOB

The Bank of Japan Just Triggered $635 Million in Bitcoin ETF Outflows in a Single Day: Is the Rally Over?

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