The short-term trend of ALT is highly driven by Bitcoin fluctuations. A clear upper resistance has formed at $0.0080, while the $0.0070-$0.0072 range serves as a staged support area. After the selling pressure around the unlocking event is digested, the price regains momentum, and liquidity risks remain controllable. It is recommended to closely monitor capital movements following the April 26 unlocking event and the risk of the $0.0070 support being breached. If the unlocking impact is weaker than market expectations, there is potential for a short-term rebound towards the $0.0076-$0.0080 range. In the medium and long term, continue to track changes in macro liquidity and the expansion of the ALT on-chain ecosystem. Maintain a neutral-to-cautious outlook, with event-driven short-term allocations as the main strategy for now. Await stronger liquidity or ecosystem catalysts for structural opportunities.

Recently, Bitcoin returned above $75,000, rekindling market risk appetite. On April 16, Bitcoin saw a breakout, propelling ALT to a one-day surge and a high of $0.008736, its highest in recent months. Between April 17 and 18, as Bitcoin faced resistance and pulled back near $78,000, ALT similarly adjusted and found support around $0.0071. Overall, ALT’s short-term trend remains closely linked to Bitcoin. The $0.0080 range now serves as short-term resistance, while the $0.0070–$0.0072 range provides initial support.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

According to on-chain data, about 24.659 million ALT tokens are set for unlocking on April 26, adding approximately $1.77 million in new circulating supply. The market has already begun pricing in the unlocking event ahead of April 19, with ALT’s price quickly dropping to $0.00693 on that day, hitting the low seen on April 19. This indicates some holders took profits or acted to avoid unlocking pressure. In the following days, however, the price steadily recovered above $0.0072 and rose close to $0.0076, indicating that short-term selling pressure has been absorbed and liquidity remains relatively sufficient.

According to Web3 asset data platform RootData, AltLayer (ALT) will unlock approximately 24.659 million tokens worth about 1.77 million USD on April 26 at 8:00 Beijing time.

RootData: ALT will unlock tokens worth approximately $1.77M in one week.

From a macro perspective, the current market downside pressure mainly stems from external liquidity tightening and institutional wait-and-see sentiment. Industry research highlights the need to consider institutional allocation rhythms, long-term token lock-up ratios, and on-chain activity when reevaluating ALT's long-term value. If a more accommodative monetary environment returns in the future—combined with sustained expansion of the ALT ecosystem and stable growth in key nodes—ALT’s valuation could gradually rise. However, it remains important to monitor the pace of macro-liquidity recovery and major industry event milestones that could influence capital allocation before that happens.

Alitas

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