BASED has recently completed a V-shaped rapid rebound and is now consolidating in the $0.12-0.14 range. The short-term support is at $0.121, with resistance seen at $0.142 and $0.158. Trading volume has increased but has not remained consistently high; it is necessary to be cautious about the pressure from profit-taking at higher levels. The surge in community enthusiasm and liquidity may support continued bullishness in the short term, but the increased volatility also raises the risk of a pullback. On a macro level, the recovery of market sentiment from panic and large ETF inflows have boosted risk appetite, but until Bitcoin breaks its key range, BASED will remain affected by overall market swings. Recommendation: Watch for range-bound support and coordination between price and volume, control position size strictly, and consider adding more only after a confirmed breakout or when market sentiment becomes clearer.

After declining from around $0.09 at the start of the month to $0.055, BASED found short-term support at lower levels and completed a V-shaped reversal on the back of a recovery in trading volume. From April 13th to 15th, the price surged rapidly with expanding volume, climbing from $0.059 to $0.085, and on the 16th spiked to an extreme high of $0.324. Afterwards, the price retraced and began oscillating mainly between $0.12 and $0.14. Currently, the price is supported near $0.121, while clear resistance lies around $0.142 and $0.158. Technical indicators show that medium-term moving averages are aligned in a bullish formation, but short-term buying interest has yet to lift trading volumes further, so attention should be paid to whether the price can hold the lower edge of the range. Judging from the candlestick performance, BASED has completed one round of rapid rebound; further continuation will depend on new buying interest and market catalysts.

Recent reports indicate that BASED has become one of the most watched tokens in the past 24 hours, with trading volume jumping notably and the number of active trades increasing significantly. This is closely linked to the price’s recent high volatility, which has clearly fueled speculation around BASED. In the short term, increased awareness and interest help drive continuous inflows of liquidity, but at the same time bring pullback risks. It is advisable to closely monitor changes in trading volume and price action, and be alert to the accelerated pullbacks that may be triggered if short-term profit-takers exit the market en masse.

According to GMGN data reported by ChainCatcher, the top 5 trending tokens in the past 24 hours include HENRY (CJUr....ump) with a price of $0.0028, market cap of $2.74M, a 24h increase of +112,000%, and a trading volume of $20.13M across 225,407 transactions. Other notable tokens are TIME MACHINE, another HENRY variant, BASED, and BULL, all showing significant 24-hour gains and trading activity.

Data: GMGN Popular Sector HENRY 24h Increase Reaches +112K%

With selling pressure from short-term BTC holders alleviating as they are no longer offloading at a loss, overall market sentiment is rebounding from fear to neutral, lifting both equity classes and the cryptocurrency sector. However, demand for hedging from both institutions and retail participants remains, and the market stays highly sensitive to interest rate decisions, suggesting volatility could remain elevated in the near term. Rising costs for holding short positions coexisting with continued large-scale ETF inflows hint at potential short squeezes and upside jolts. However, if Bitcoin fails to break through its key cost zone, BASED may once again adjust amid fluctuating risk appetite.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

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Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

SoSo Macro | Powell Remains Governor, Three Fed Voters Oppose Rate Cuts; Big Tech Cloud Revenue Growth Accelerates

CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

Bank of England set to hold rates as Iran war clouds outlook

Gold held losses after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady and said the war in Iran was clouding the economic outlook.

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