The current rebound in market risk appetite and the decline in volatility have created short-term momentum for DUCKY, which is expected to steadily rise to the key resistance zone (recommended to monitor the pressure test in the 3.80~4.20 range). However, caution is needed regarding sudden shifts in sentiment and insufficient volume support. If opening positions diverge significantly from price movements, positions should be promptly controlled to strictly guard against pullback risks. It is advisable to consider buying on dips and increasing holdings after a breakout above 4.20, dynamically adjusting risk exposure.

Recently, the market has moved past last month's deleveraging phase and shifted into a moderate expansion state. The rise in the Z-Score indicator reflects that buying momentum is mainly driven by spot trading, with market risk appetite steadily recovering. Under this framework, overall asset volatility has decreased and liquidation risks are controllable, providing a relaxed risk environment for DUCKY.

Spot-driven upward momentum helps attract more value buyers, and moderate capital inflows indicate little disagreement between buyers and sellers, suggesting that DUCKY may continue its steady upward trend in the short term. However, it is important to note that while both trading volume and open interest show increases, the pace is slow, indicating that the market remains cautious and on the sidelines.

If market divergence indicators experience a sharp correction without price support, it could trigger concentrated short-term sell pressure. Once speculative positions accumulate excessively, it will impact DUCKY. It is recommended to closely track the coordination of open interest and price movements to prevent pullback risks caused by emotional overshooting.

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