stETH maintains a strong bullish structure. Holding above the $2340–$2300 range is key in the short term; if this support holds, it is likely to test the resistance above $2500. Concentrated selling from retail investors has intensified short-term volatility, but steady accumulation by major players and improvement in macro liquidity are providing support for the market’s outlook. It is recommended to maintain a long position strategy, focus on defending the support area, buy on dips during pullbacks, and closely monitor macro event drivers as well as inflection points in market sentiment.

Since its rebound from near $2000 in late March, stETH's price has consistently formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, maintaining a bullish structure. On April 17, it approached a near two-month high at $2463. Daily trading volume surged at key breakout points, while subsequent pullbacks to around $2340 were accompanied by volume contraction, indicating consolidation and accumulation. From a technical indicator perspective, the price remains above the 20-day and 60-day moving averages, with short-term moving averages aligned in a bullish manner. If support at $2340–$2300 holds, the price could continue to probe resistance near $2500.

Bitcoin rose about 8% last week to $72,267, with Ethereum up 7.8%, supported by significant inflows into spot ETFs. However, analysts warn that geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures, driven by oil prices and uncertain macro conditions, continue to impact the market. Inflation data shows rising costs, especially energy, influencing economic outlooks. Options market signals cautious optimism, with institutional investors limiting upside enthusiasm amid ongoing uncertainty.

Analyst: Bitcoin still faces challenges from oil price shocks and inflation, with macroeconomic uncertainties continuing to impact the market.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

According to Santiment data, retail investors holding less than 0.01 ETH concentrated their selling within two days, generating sell pressure equivalent to around $4.2 million. The market generally interprets the nearly 17% rise as a bull trap, and profit-taking under this pessimistic expectation may disrupt prices in the short term. Given the strong price linkage between stETH and ETH, retail sentiment remains cautious in the short-run, possibly leading to sharp pullbacks during extreme volatility. However, if major players lock in costs and continue accumulating, the trap effect could instead fuel the next round of bullish momentum.

Santiment reported that amid recent market gains, small retail investors are selling significant amounts of Ethereum, with wallets holding 0.01 ETH or less reducing by 1,791 ETH (worth $4.16 million) in two days. The public perceives the 17% rise since March 29 as a bull trap, which ironically may strengthen the likelihood of the ongoing bullish momentum continuing.

Santiment: The general market believes the recent rise is a bull trap, but the bullish momentum may continue.

Recently, progress toward a ceasefire in the Middle East has eased geopolitical risks, and risk assets have generally rebounded. Nonetheless, rising oil prices and the US hawkish stance continue to pressure inflation expectations, leading to fluctuating risk aversion. Increased volatility in Bitcoin and other crypto assets demonstrates strong investor demand for downside protection, highlighting a focus on macro uncertainties. Against this backdrop, stETH, as a staking derivative, can generate stable annualized staking yields, ensuring long-term value resilience. However, the market’s short-term sensitivity to macro news may result in misaligned timing, so investors should monitor liquidity shifts and implied volatility closely.

STS Digital CEO Maxime Seiler reports that Bitcoin traders are increasingly seeking downside protection, with demand for put options significantly exceeding calls, indicating market panic. Bitcoin trades just above $70,000 after a recent nearly 4% drop triggered by geopolitical tensions, including U.S. naval actions near Iran and rising oil prices above $100 per barrel, which heighten inflation concerns ahead of upcoming central bank meetings.

STS Digital: Bitcoin bearish sentiment intensifies, options market shows investors seeking downside protection

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

Lido Staked Ether

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Why Kevin Warsh should become Bitcoin’s most impactful Fed chair yet

Bitcoin and Ethereum slide after Iran says Strait of Hormuz is shut

UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

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