BLIFFY is currently in a short-term wave recovery phase driven by liquidity rebound, with on-chain capital inflows and improving sentiment supporting a stable price uptick. However, trading activity and transaction fees have yet to return to previous highs, while macro and policy uncertainties introduce mid-term volatility risks. Investors should be cautious of potential fluctuations and high-level swings. The long-term bullish narrative remains unchanged, backed by institutional demand and ecosystem expansion. It is advised to optimize positions prudently in the short term and accumulate quality assets on dips for the medium to long term, paying close attention to key support ranges and application ecosystem developments.

Recently, market sentiment has begun to improve, with several indicators showing a significant uptick in liquidity. On-chain data and large fund movements are signaling a rebound, supported by transaction fees and trading volumes stabilizing after a period of slowdown, which underpins expectations for a short-term bottoming reversal. Against this backdrop, investors are showing increased enthusiasm for potential short-term flexibility opportunities, market panic has eased to some extent, and overall prices are exhibiting slight upward movement.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Although liquidity has improved, current trading volume and transaction fee levels have not yet recovered to historical peaks, reflecting a limitation in overall market activity. In the medium term, macroeconomic and policy uncertainties may continue to suppress broad market participation. If subsequent data fails to show strong follow-through, short-term recovery may be volatile. Investors need to be alert to potential high-level volatility and rapid capital outflows before a clear trend is established.

From an industry and macro trend perspective, sustained institutional demand and infrastructure build-out will provide solid support for the market. Value investors emphasize aligning with broader trends rather than short-term speculation; as the bullish narrative is gradually validated, there is optimism for long-term value increases stemming from diverse application scenarios and a maturing on-chain ecosystem. At present, experienced bulls are using short-term volatility to optimize costs, with expectations for the overall bullish market landscape to continue.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Bliffy

A Small Change at the FED Caused Bitcoin to Fall! – Wall Street Giant Morgan Stanley Revised Its FED Interest Rate Forecasts After Yesterday’s...

BoE: Holding fire with two-sided risks – Deutsche Bank

Fed: Warsh-led cuts seen limited – Rabobank

Japan's Katayama: Getting closer to taking decisive step in FX market

Bitcoin price slips on ‘discord’ risk at Fed amid messy regime change. ‘No choice but to stay’

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation at around 3% for two consecutive years

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

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