Currently, market risk appetite volatility has increased. G forms key support in the 0.0039-0.0040 range, driven by broader market sentiment, with short-term performance significantly amplified. Bitcoin futures continue to deleverage. If the main token breaks through $75,000, capital is expected to flow out, potentially benefiting mid- and small-cap G and leading to a range breakout. Technically, G has surpassed the 0.0040 round number resistance, and further attention should be paid to volume-price coordination. Overall, it is suggested to buy on dips based on the 0.0039-0.0038 support in the short term; if G holds above 0.0041 with increased volume, moderate adding of positions can be considered. Otherwise, it is better to wait for bottom confirmation before further entry.

Recently, global risk appetite has experienced cycles of peaks and retracements. In mid-April, the S&P 500 index hit a new high for the year, boosting market sentiment and accelerating capital inflows into high-beta assets. However, a subsequent turning point led to a pullback, pressuring risk assets. As a typical mid- and small-cap asset, token G tends to amplify gains and losses during shifts in risk appetite. On the daily chart, G rallied in tandem with macro sentiment from April 13 to 15, rising to around 0.004 intraday. If global equity markets remain under pressure on the 17th, the 0.0039-0.004 support level may be tested in the short term.

The S&P 500 index reached a historic intraday high on Wednesday, marking its first peak since the outbreak of the Iran war. Investor optimism about easing conflict tensions and strong earnings forecasts has driven a return to risk assets. Despite ongoing geopolitical crises, market risk pricing has shifted, with traders factoring in lower short-term escalation risks. Since the conflict began on February 28, the index fell up to 9% but did not meet criteria for a technical correction.

The S&P 500 index hit a record high, signaling a shift in market risk pricing.

Open interest in Bitcoin futures continues to deleverage, resulting in a healthier capital structure, which means even a small inflow of capital can significantly amplify short-term market moves. In addition, Bitcoin is approaching a key volatility release threshold; if it breaks above $75,000, a negative gamma effect in the derivatives market could further magnify price swings. During this volatility window, market enthusiasm may spill over into mid- and small-cap tokens, further boosting G's acceleration in rebound after low-level consolidation. However, if Bitcoin fails to break through the resistance range, market liquidity may once again flow back to large-cap tokens, constraining G's performance.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Since the end of March, G has gradually rebounded after building a bottom in the 0.0033-0.0034 range, closing above the 0.0040 mark with increased volume on the 16th, indicating stronger bullish intention. Currently, G is above the 20-day moving average and approaching the 50-day moving average, with short-term resistance at 0.0041-0.0042; lower support is at 0.0039 and 0.0038. It is advised to monitor the persistence of intraday volume. If increasing volume supports price uptrends, consider entering on retracements. If the volume fails to follow through, it is prudent to wait for multiple confirmations of the bottom before deploying new positions.

According to GMGN data reported by ChainCatcher, the top 5 trending tokens in the past 24 hours showed significant changes: GiE8....ump surged +7,200% to $0.0002 with a $20K market cap and $4.49M trading volume; AOW rose +10.3% to $0.0014; SNIGGA dropped -99.7% despite $16.2M volume; ALONSHOUSE increased +351.8% to $0.0006; and RND soared +17,000% to $0.0005.

Data: GMGN Hot Sector 24h Increase Reaches +7.2K%

Gravity (by Galxe)

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Gravity (by Galxe) Price: G Live Price Today | G Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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