Supported by the recovery of macro sentiment and Bitcoin capital inflows, HOOK is currently oscillating within a wide range of $0.0078–0.0093, with a divergence between volume and price indicating a wait-and-see attitude from investors. Recently, altcoins exhibited short-term risk appetite spillover effects, but without a breakout of resistance levels in major cryptocurrencies, the upside space for further volatility remains limited. Strategically, it is recommended to accumulate in batches below $0.0080 for the medium to long term, while in the short term, maintain a buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Closely monitor liquidity signals from Bitcoin and the overall market; consider adding positions if $0.0096 is broken through, but control exposure if it falls below $0.0078 to prevent drawdown risks.

Recently, Bitcoin futures open interest has significantly declined from highs seen last October, and on-site leverage has dropped to one-year lows, indicating the market is in a deleveraging phase but with heightened sensitivity. With easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Bitcoin has continued to surge, breaking through the $72,000 threshold, and the stock market has also rebounded in tandem, demonstrating a notable rise in overall risk appetite for risk assets. This round of sentiment recovery is mainly centered on mainstream assets, but it has also created short-term opportunities for capital inflows into altcoins. Investors should closely monitor changes in market liquidity and their impact on high-beta varieties like HOOK.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the resistance near the $75,000 'volatility release point,' which corresponds to the 100-day moving average and an area of concentrated negative gamma in derivatives. Once this level is broken upwards, it could trigger a fresh round of gains, exerting a catalytic effect on risk assets in general. Both endogenous trend models and fund flow data suggest a potential breakout is forming. Should Bitcoin continue to climb, the altcoin sector may see intensified short-term volatility, but caution is still needed regarding the pullback risks posed by key resistance levels in major coins.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

10x Research analysis indicates Bitcoin is approaching a significant breakout, with internal trend models detecting a shift and market sentiment, positions, and capital flow data confirming structural changes. Despite concerns about quantum computing threats emerging around 2030-2035, current technical indicators show constructive momentum and multiple signals suggest a high probability of short-term upward movement. The key question remains if this will lead to a new bull market and all-time highs.

Analysis: Bitcoin may face a critical breakthrough, multiple indicators resonate pointing to an upward window.

Since the mid-March high of $0.02235, HOOK's price has continued to decline, briefly rebounding from a base built near $0.0078 in early April up to $0.0093, but then dropping back to around $0.0082, forming a broad range oscillation between $0.0078 and $0.0093. In the past two weeks, trading volume has shrunk significantly, with a clear divergence between volume and price, indicating both bulls and bears are waiting for movement at key price levels. The $0.0093–0.0096 zone above acts as strong resistance, while the $0.0080–0.0078 region below offers solid support, making it likely for the price to continue ranging in the short term.

With macro and mainstream asset sentiment continuing to improve, and with the accelerated pace of blockchain infrastructure and regulatory progress, market differentiation is becoming increasingly evident. For medium- and long-term holders, it is advisable to deploy in batches near key support levels and wait for a secondary entry opportunity driven by a breakout in Bitcoin or other major assets. For short-term traders, use the trading range as a framework, closely monitor the balance of bullish and bearish forces and changes in trading volume, and only enter or take profits after a breakout from the current range.

Gate Ventures reports a phase of market rebound driven by easing macro risks, with major indices and cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH showing gains alongside net inflows into spot ETFs. Despite this, market sentiment remains extremely fearful, and capital return is cautious. Structural opportunities arise from network upgrades and regulatory progress, such as Hong Kong's issuance of stablecoin licenses. Financing activity increased, focusing on infrastructure and early-stage innovation, indicating ongoing market differentiation and a shift toward fundamentally and regulatorily supported assets.

Gate Ventures: Market Experiences Temporary Rebound but Divergence Continues, Capital Inflows and Structural Repair Proceed in Parallel

Hooked Protocol

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Hooked Protocol Price: HOOK Live Price Today | HOOK Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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