Driven by the recovery of macro risk appetite and stabilization of major crypto assets, INIT surged out of the $0.079–$0.083 range with increased volume after a period of consolidation, improving its technical structure. Currently, bullish momentum is resonating with favorable capital flows, suggesting INIT may sustain its short-term rebound. Considering on-chain liquidity and institutional position configurations, INIT remains in a value zone, and its high liquidity profile is expected to continue benefiting once a medium- to long-term Bitcoin bull market is confirmed. We recommend monitoring the effectiveness of support near $0.083, with the short-term target zone moving up to $0.090–$0.095. Maintain a positive allocation if retracement does not break previous lows.

Recently, easing geopolitical tensions have reduced risk aversion, leading to a notable recovery in major crypto assets. Bitcoin has repeatedly broken through key resistance levels and remains steady above $75,000 in absolute terms, attracting capital inflows—including into altcoins such as INIT—in the context of improved global risk appetite. Combined with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and phased improvements in liquidity at the macro level, overall market liquidity has been supported, boosting short-term upward momentum in risk assets.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On the daily chart, INIT repeatedly oscillated within the $0.079–$0.083 range at the beginning of April, with generally subdued trading volumes. On April 16, a volume breakout led prices from $0.0835 up to $0.0904, closing as a bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, indicating that bearish attempts to retrace failed to break short-term moving average support. Trading volume and momentum expanded simultaneously during this move, suggesting short-term bulls have gained emotional support and may sustain their upwards momentum.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From a broader time frame, the crypto market is in the process of constructing Bitcoin's medium- to long-term uptrend. Liquidity accumulation at key support levels could usher in a new round of mainstream asset appreciation. Institutional allocation pace for risk assets and on-chain liquidity indicators show the sector remains in the value accumulation zone. As a highly liquid altcoin, INIT will continue to benefit from overall incremental capital allocation logic once Bitcoin confirms its medium- to long-term bull market signal.

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

Analyst Ai highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 could lead to a liquidity vacuum. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility may represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may represent a cyclical entry opportunity.

Initia

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Initia Price: INIT Live Price Today | INIT Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-ge

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INIT price today is 0.09, with a live price change of 0.82 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade INIT on Bybit-ge.

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