CKB is currently in a consolidation range after a period of high volatility, oscillating between 0.00146 and 0.00156 in the short term. Market risk appetite tends to be cautious, and liquidity has not significantly expanded. Investors are advised to focus on the 0.00145 support level and adopt a strategy of gradual accumulation on dips. If trading volume rebounds and support is firmly established, there is potential to test resistance above 0.0016. If support is lost, timely stop-loss measures should be taken to prevent the risk of a deep correction. Overall, range trading is recommended while waiting for a clear directional signal.

Recently, Bitcoin rebounded swiftly on news of easing tensions in the Middle East, while the futures market underwent significant deleveraging with a marked reduction in open positions. Against this backdrop, CKB contracts also witnessed intense intraday volatility—on April 11, single-day trading volume surged to approximately 1.764 billion, and the price peaked at 0.0017132 USDT before closing back at 0.001487, still above the previous interval median. It shows that the easing of risk events and a low-leverage environment brought a wave of short-term bullish sentiment, driving CKB’s price and volume higher.

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

From April 12 to 16, CKB's price fluctuated between 0.00146 and 0.00156, as selling pressure from the prior high at 0.0017132 subsided. After bulls attempted to reclaim the 0.0015 level but met resistance, prices retreated. There have now been several consecutive days of consolidation with trading volume falling back to 100–200 million, indicating insufficient short-term bullish momentum. In conjunction with Bitcoin exhibiting volatility after breaking a four-week high, CKB has also entered a consolidation phase, awaiting a new directional catalyst to trigger the next trend.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Continued negative funding rates and a decrease in open interest in the derivatives market reflect a generally cautious sentiment. Following the surge in CKB’s trading activity on April 11, overall turnover failed to further expand, suggesting that short-term exit momentum remains. Strategically, gradual position building within the consolidation range is recommended, focusing on the strength of support around 0.00145. If this level holds alongside a rebound in trading volume, there is potential to test the 0.0016 resistance again; if the support breaks, beware of further correction risk.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Nervos Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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