Constrained by a significant short-term liquidity drought, APM bid-ask spreads are expected to widen and trading activity has fallen to low levels, making short-term prices likely to fluctuate and trend downward (support range: 0.72~0.76). However, in the medium to long term, political theme trading funds are highly concentrated. If APM can effectively align with core narratives and policy events, combined with in-depth community and ecosystem development, it is expected to enhance liquidity and attract more capital attention. It is advised to strictly control positions in the short term and focus on structural market opportunities. In the medium to long term, continue to monitor thematic integration and project ecosystem collaboration progress, and strategically position when appropriate.

Latest market data show that short-term (within 24 hours) trading frequency has dropped sharply, with more than 60% of contracts recording zero transactions, and total trading volume is just one-thirtieth of the traditional sports market. In this liquidity-strained environment, APM bid-ask spreads are likely to widen further, inhibiting short-term speculative demand and possibly leading to significantly reduced trading volume and heightened price volatility. For funds relying on high-frequency trading and short-term bets, their risk tolerance for APM is passively increased, so short-term trading will likely be dominated by fluctuating downward movements.

Compared to short-term contracts, long-term political derivatives show better liquidity, with trading volume highly concentrated on a small number of core themes and nearly half of the transactions contributed by a few hot contracts. This indicates a market preference for key narratives and high-quality targets. As an emerging token, if APM can structure its themes around macro policies or major events, it may attract more attention and liquidity allocation in the medium to long term. Otherwise, it could be marginalized in the wave of market concentration and must accelerate deep development in project ecosystem and community building to stand out amid competition.

Powell: Changing the easing bias is a form of forward guidance.

Powell: The number of people who see the possibility of both rate hikes and rate cuts as equally likely has increased.

Tony Welch: The Federal Reserve's threshold for raising interest rates remains high, and the economy does not yet show a need for rate cuts.

Brian Jacobsen: Opposition to the Fed will be louder after Waller takes office

Powell: Continued additional actions threaten the Federal Reserve's ability to fulfill its duties

Powell: March PCE inflation rate expected to be 3.5%

Powell: Labor demand has weakened

Powell: High inflation partly due to rising energy prices

Fed leaves rates unchanged at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chairman

Federal funds rate swaps: Expect the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points before April 2027 to reach 50%.

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APM price today is 0.00, with a live price change of 2.90 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade APM on Bybit-ge.

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