Although there are signs of recovery in the current SL market sentiment and trading volume has rebounded, bullish momentum has yet to be confirmed. In the short term, there are still risks of false breakouts and consolidation. Against a backdrop of liquidity divergence, short-term contract order book depth is insufficient, which can amplify volatility and cause liquidity shocks. Investors are advised to participate cautiously in short-term setups, focusing on key support and resistance ranges (recommended range: 3.20—3.65), implementing strict stop losses, maintaining position flexibility, and prioritizing additional allocation only after sustained inflows of volume and main funds are observed.

Latest market data shows that the overall crypto sector is exhibiting initial signs of recovery, providing a short-term sentiment boost for SL. Investors have begun to regain interest in the buy side, driving trading volumes higher compared to previous periods. However, as the market remains in a wait-and-see phase, bullish forces have not yet been fully established, and more concrete data is needed to confirm the validity of a rebound. In the early stages of the current rebound, the market may experience oscillations with false breakouts, so near-term focus should be on the sustainability of trading volumes and key levels of support.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Recent analysis indicates that liquidity in the crypto short-term contract market is noticeably lower than in other categories, meaning that SL may face risks of insufficient order book depth in short-term trading. In low-liquidity conditions, even with favorable news support, limited momentum from follow-on capital may make it difficult to sustain price rises. Meanwhile, funds show a stronger preference for long-term contracts and macro-hedging products, which leads to heightened short-term volatility. Investors engaging in intraday or ultra-short-term trading should carefully control their position sizes, strictly set stop-losses, and avoid slippage and herd risks triggered by sudden drops in liquidity.

The Society Library

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